Jorce
Next week, the mid-term will be held – but millions of registered voters have voted. According to a poll conducted by CNN and Kelly Board, the early voting statistics for 2018 reflect a particularly striking trend: the “surge” of young people this year has seen a vote that is significantly higher than in 2014. Quantity. Specifically, the greater the proportion of young voters in the two highly competitive states of Georgia and Texas is rising.
In Texas, US Senator Ted Cruz and Democratic candidate Beto Orok have been one of the most popular games in the country. Cruz and O’Rourke are currently voting in a few points. According to CNN’s opinion polls, the percentage of voters under the age of 30 who voted in Texas this year (accounting for the majority of voters) has jumped from 4.4% in 2014 to 10.7%.
According to the latest poll by NBC News/Marister, in Georgia, the governor’s campaign between Republican Brian Kemp and Democrat contender Stacy Abrams is actually juxtaposed. This election is another extremely hyped game, and there are good reasons: if Abrams wins, she will become the first African American female governor in American history. According to CNN’s opinion polls, the proportion of voters under the age of 30 who participated in Georgia’s early voting jumped from 4% in 2014 to 8.9% in 2018.
Of course, these numbers in these two states may still look small. However, CNN pointed out that it is normal for early voting to be conducted by senior elections. Instead, the focus is on both Georgia and Texas seeing young voters appear to have an early turnout rate that is more than twice the previous mid-term.
It is always a good thing to see young voters increase their interest in participating in democracy. But those who hope to have a blue wave in the medium term may be particularly hopeful when people under the age of 30 see these early vote increases.
A poll conducted by the Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Politics showed that in the upcoming midterm elections, people between the ages of 18 and 29 “really have a higher probability of voting” than in 2014. In addition, during the voting years, “Democrats” we tended to control Congress by 34 percentage points, 66% to 32%. ”
In other words, the young voters in the Harvard polls reflect a high percentage of the interests of the Democratic Party. Finally, the Harvard poll shows that 40% of people between the ages of 18 and 29 are definitely planning to vote in this election. According to US Census data, researchers at Harvard University further pointed out that the last time a young voter voted over 20% was in 1994.
If the trend of young voters continues until the election day of November 6, it may have a huge impact on the party balance in the House of Representatives. The House of Representatives is currently dominated by Republicans, 240 to 195. But as of November 1, FiveThirtyEight expects the Democrats to gain control of 85%, and the most likely outcome is that the Democrats won 38 seats.
If this happens, it may be due in large part to young voters.
